Diesel prices, refinery and export policy, and what fuel costs mean for rates.
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Fuel marketers say the tax is still owed, most reputable retailers won't sell dyed fuel for highway use, and residual dye lingers in tanks — "deferral is not forgiveness."

The Logistics Managers' Index priced transportation at 92.7 while capacity fell to 34.4 — record diesel prices and heightened enforcement keep squeezing the market, and aggregate logistics costs hit their highest since April 2022.

The DOE/EIA national average fell to $6.199 per gallon for the week of Oct. 5 — now $0.33 off the $6.529 all-time high — while analysts warn the red-dye executive order means limited, uneven relief at the pump.

The order opens tax-free red-dyed diesel to highway use and defers the $0.244-per-gallon federal tax with no interest or penalties — about $60 on a 250-gallon fill, over $100 where states match.

Load posts rose 9% to 3.3 million for the week of Sept. 27–Oct. 3 while truck posts fell 8%; every equipment type gained, but DAT's Dean Croke calls it a calendar push, not a demand shift.

The October U.S. Bank Freight Payment Index shows contract dry van linehaul at $2.39 a mile against $2.17 spot in August, with fuel surcharges climbing to $0.70 a mile.

The Oct. 2 agreement puts diesel at the center of an emergency response to record fuel prices, with a substantial release reported within 20 days; members also pledged no export restrictions on one another.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on X Thursday that European partners should deliver diesel commitments faster and make additional supplies available; Brent fell 2.4% to $99.88 and U.S. crude 3.7% to $89.47.

Ohio will shave $0.47 a gallon off diesel taxes for 90 days starting Oct. 4, as Ohio truckers say record $6.65-a-gallon fuel is forcing closures and cash-flow crises.

European officials held an emergency call Oct. 1 after the U.S. threatened to ban diesel exports — the latest pressure on a market where EU diesel averages $9.53 a gallon.

EIA's national on-highway average fell to $6.382 a gallon for the week ending Sept. 28, ending an 11-week climb to record-high levels.

Diesel hit just under $6.57 a gallon Monday while spot rates gained only 2 cents a mile, and regulatory crackdowns are tightening capacity on top of it.

Abbott's disaster proclamation opens Texas roads to dyed diesel and 95,000-pound fuel, ag, and timber loads; Kemp's order suspends gas and diesel taxes through Oct. 29.

Nebraska's two 90-day orders allow dyed diesel for ag haulers and 25% overweight crop loads, plus a request to pause diesel exports; Montana mirrors FMCSA's fuel-hauler HOS waiver intrastate.

All-in rates rose, but van linehaul was flat and reefer and flatbed linehaul fell — the entire gain came from the fuel surcharge.